Studio sulla valutazione degli effetti dell’accordo di libero scambio UE-Mercosur sul commercio estero italiano

Editor: RomaTrE-Press
Publication date: august 2021
Pages: 157
ISBN: 979-12-5977-029-5
n° downloads ad oggi: 0

Abstract

This work presents a descriptive analysis of trade flows between Italy and Mercosur and a counterfactual simulation aimed at evaluating howthe trade association agreement between the European Union (EU) and Mercosur could affect Italy’s trade flows. The first part is dedicated to the analysis of the economic relations between Italy and Mercosur, with an investigation of Italian trade interests in terms of export and import and a close examination on the agri-food sector. The second part concerns a quantitative simulation conducted through a global general equilibrium model to evaluate the expected economic effects of the Agreement. The simulation results show that partners on both sides of the Atlantic could see an increase in trade flows and GDP as a result of the Agreement, although the study found some heterogeneity of results, both at the country and at the sector level.

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Edited by: Cecilia Nardi, Davide Consoli, Elena Paglialunga, Federica Cappelli, Giovanni Marin, Ilaria Fusacchia, Luca Salvatici, Valeria Costantini
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